Water scarcity and rioting: disaggregated evidence from Sub-Saharan Africa

It is often purported that unusually dry weather conditions provoke small-scale social conflict—riots—by intensifying the competition for water. The present paper explores this hypothesis, using data from Sub-Saharan Africa. We rely on monthly data at the cell level (0.5×0.5 degrees), an approach th...

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Bibliographic Details
Main Authors: Almer, Christian Alexander (Author) , Laurent-Lucchetti, Jérémy (Author) , Oechslin, Manuel (Author)
Format: Article (Journal)
Language:English
Published: November 2017
In: Journal of environmental economics and management
Year: 2017, Volume: 86, Pages: 193-209
ISSN:1096-0449
DOI:10.1016/j.jeem.2017.06.002
Online Access:Verlag, Volltext: http://dx.doi.org/10.1016/j.jeem.2017.06.002
Verlag, Volltext: http://www.sciencedirect.com/science/article/pii/S0095069617303650
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Author Notes:Christian Almer, Jérémy Laurent-Lucchetti, Manuel Oechslin
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Summary:It is often purported that unusually dry weather conditions provoke small-scale social conflict—riots—by intensifying the competition for water. The present paper explores this hypothesis, using data from Sub-Saharan Africa. We rely on monthly data at the cell level (0.5×0.5 degrees), an approach that is tailored to the short-lived and local nature of the phenomenon. Using a drought index to proxy for weather shocks, we find that a one-standard-deviation fall in the index (signaling drier conditions) raises the likelihood of riots in a given cell and month by 8.3%. We further observe that the effect of unusually dry weather conditions is substantially larger in cells with a lower availability of water resources (such as rivers and lakes), a finding that supports the significance of the competition-for-water mechanism.
Item Description:Gesehen am 11.10.2018
Available online 16 June 2017
Physical Description:Online Resource
ISSN:1096-0449
DOI:10.1016/j.jeem.2017.06.002