Futures markets, cognitive ability, and mispricing in experimental asset markets

We study the effect of a futures market, in which contracts maturing in the last period of the life of the asset can be traded. Our experiment has two treatments, one in which a spot market operates on its own, and a second treatment, in which a spot and a futures market are active simultaneously. F...

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Hauptverfasser: Noussair, Charles (VerfasserIn) , Tucker, Steven (VerfasserIn) , Xu, Yilong (VerfasserIn)
Dokumenttyp: Article (Journal)
Sprache:Englisch
Veröffentlicht: 22 July 2016
In: Journal of economic behavior & organization
Year: 2016, Jahrgang: 130, Pages: 166-179
ISSN:1879-1751
DOI:10.1016/j.jebo.2016.07.010
Online-Zugang:Verlag, Volltext: https://doi.org/10.1016/j.jebo.2016.07.010
Verlag, Volltext: http://www.sciencedirect.com/science/article/pii/S0167268116301391
Volltext
Verfasserangaben:Charles N. Noussair, Steven Tucker, Yilong Xu
Beschreibung
Zusammenfassung:We study the effect of a futures market, in which contracts maturing in the last period of the life of the asset can be traded. Our experiment has two treatments, one in which a spot market operates on its own, and a second treatment, in which a spot and a futures market are active simultaneously. Futures markets lower spot prices, but increase price volatility. The futures markets themselves exhibit considerable overpricing. Individuals with higher cognitive reflection test (CRT) scores achieve greater earnings, and tend to sell in the overpriced futures market, while traders with lower CRT scores make purchases in the futures market. Greater average CRT score among a group of traders is associated with better price discovery when no futures market is present but there is no such relationship in the presence of a futures market. Modified measures of CRT, which take into account different types of incorrect responses, are introduced.
Beschreibung:Gesehen am 10.05.2019
Beschreibung:Online Resource
ISSN:1879-1751
DOI:10.1016/j.jebo.2016.07.010