The power of sunspots: an experimental analysis
In an experiment using a coordination game with extrinsic random signals (“sunspots”), we systematically vary the stochastic process generating these signals and measure how signals affect behavior. We find that sunspot equilibria emerge naturally with salient public signals. However, highly correla...
Gespeichert in:
| Hauptverfasser: | , , |
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| Dokumenttyp: | Article (Journal) |
| Sprache: | Englisch |
| Veröffentlicht: |
2019
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| In: |
Journal of monetary economics
Year: 2018, Jahrgang: 103, Pages: 123-136 |
| DOI: | 10.1016/j.jmoneco.2018.08.006 |
| Online-Zugang: | Verlag, Volltext: https://doi.org/10.1016/j.jmoneco.2018.08.006 Verlag: http://www.sciencedirect.com/science/article/pii/S0304393218304896 
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| Verfasserangaben: | Dietmar Fehr, Frank Heinemann, Aniol Llorente-Saguer |
MARC
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| 520 | |a In an experiment using a coordination game with extrinsic random signals (“sunspots”), we systematically vary the stochastic process generating these signals and measure how signals affect behavior. We find that sunspot equilibria emerge naturally with salient public signals. However, highly correlated private signals can also lead to sunspot-driven behavior, even when this is not an equilibrium. Private signals reduce the power of public signals as sunspot variables. The higher the correlation of extrinsic signals and the more easily they can be aggregated, the more powerful these signals are in distracting actions from the action that minimizes strategic uncertainty. | ||
| 534 | |c 2018 | ||
| 650 | 4 | |a Coordination games | |
| 650 | 4 | |a Expectations | |
| 650 | 4 | |a Forward guidance | |
| 650 | 4 | |a Strategic uncertainty | |
| 650 | 4 | |a Sunspot equilibria | |
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