Room for discretion?: biased decision-making in international financial institutions
We exploit the degree of discretion embedded in the World Bank-IMF Debt Sustainability Framework (DSF) to understand the decision-making process of international financial institutions. The unique, internal dataset we use covers the universe of debt sustainability analyses conducted between December...
Gespeichert in:
| Hauptverfasser: | , |
|---|---|
| Dokumenttyp: | Article (Journal) |
| Sprache: | Englisch |
| Veröffentlicht: |
2018
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| In: |
Journal of development economics
Year: 2017, Jahrgang: 130, Pages: 1-16 |
| ISSN: | 0304-3878 |
| DOI: | 10.1016/j.jdeveco.2017.09.001 |
| Online-Zugang: | Verlag, Volltext: https://doi.org/10.1016/j.jdeveco.2017.09.001 Verlag: http://www.sciencedirect.com/science/article/pii/S0304387817300640 |
| Verfasserangaben: | Valentin F. Lang, Andrea F. Presbitero |
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| 520 | |a We exploit the degree of discretion embedded in the World Bank-IMF Debt Sustainability Framework (DSF) to understand the decision-making process of international financial institutions. The unique, internal dataset we use covers the universe of debt sustainability analyses conducted between December 2006 and January 2015 for low-income countries. These data allow us to identify cases where the risk rating implied by the application of the DSF's mechanical rules was overridden to assign a different official rating. Our results show that both political interests and bureaucratic incentives influence the decision to intervene in the mechanical decision-making process. Countries that are politically aligned with the institutions' major shareholders are more likely to receive an improved rating; especially in election years and when the mechanical assessment is not clear-cut. These results suggest that the room for discretion international financial institutions have can be a channel for informal governance and a source of biased decision-making. | ||
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