Adjustment for exploratory cut-off selection in randomized clinical trials with survival endpoint

Defining the target population based on predictive biomarkers plays an important role during clinical development. After establishing a relationship between a biomarker candidate and response to treatment in exploratory phases, a subsequent confirmatory trial ideally involves only subjects with high...

Ausführliche Beschreibung

Gespeichert in:
Bibliographische Detailangaben
Hauptverfasser: Götte, Heiko (VerfasserIn) , Kirchner, Marietta (VerfasserIn) , Kieser, Meinhard (VerfasserIn)
Dokumenttyp: Article (Journal)
Sprache:Englisch
Veröffentlicht: 2020
In: Biometrical journal
Year: 2019, Jahrgang: 62, Heft: 3, Pages: 627-642
ISSN:1521-4036
DOI:10.1002/bimj.201800302
Online-Zugang:Verlag, lizenzpflichtig, Volltext: https://doi.org/10.1002/bimj.201800302
Verlag, lizenzpflichtig, Volltext: https://www.onlinelibrary.wiley.com/doi/abs/10.1002/bimj.201800302
Volltext
Verfasserangaben:Heiko Götte, Marietta Kirchner, Meinhard Kieser

MARC

LEADER 00000caa a2200000 c 4500
001 1725080966
003 DE-627
005 20210820025736.0
007 cr uuu---uuuuu
008 200717r20202019xx |||||o 00| ||eng c
024 7 |a 10.1002/bimj.201800302  |2 doi 
035 |a (DE-627)1725080966 
035 |a (DE-599)KXP1725080966 
035 |a (OCoLC)1264364185 
040 |a DE-627  |b ger  |c DE-627  |e rda 
041 |a eng 
084 |a 32  |2 sdnb 
100 1 |a Götte, Heiko  |d 1977-  |e VerfasserIn  |0 (DE-588)134019911  |0 (DE-627)559480601  |0 (DE-576)300258577  |4 aut 
245 1 0 |a Adjustment for exploratory cut-off selection in randomized clinical trials with survival endpoint  |c Heiko Götte, Marietta Kirchner, Meinhard Kieser 
264 1 |c 2020 
300 |a 16 
336 |a Text  |b txt  |2 rdacontent 
337 |a Computermedien  |b c  |2 rdamedia 
338 |a Online-Ressource  |b cr  |2 rdacarrier 
500 |a Gesehen am 17.07.2020 
500 |a First published: 07 October 2019 
520 |a Defining the target population based on predictive biomarkers plays an important role during clinical development. After establishing a relationship between a biomarker candidate and response to treatment in exploratory phases, a subsequent confirmatory trial ideally involves only subjects with high potential of benefiting from the new compound. In order to identify those subjects in case of a continuous biomarker, a cut-off is needed. Usually, a cut-off is chosen that resulted in a subgroup with a large observed treatment effect in an exploratory trial. However, such a data-driven selection may lead to overoptimistic expectations for the subsequent confirmatory trial. Treatment effect estimates, probability of success, and posterior probabilities are useful measures for deciding whether or not to conduct a confirmatory trial enrolling the biomarker-defined population. These measures need to be adjusted for selection bias. We extend previously introduced Approximate Bayesian Computation techniques for adjustment of subgroup selection bias to a time-to-event setting with cut-off selection. Challenges in this setting are that treatment effects become time-dependent and that subsets are defined by the biomarker distribution. Simulation studies show that the proposed method provides adjusted statistical measures which are superior to naïve Maximum Likelihood estimators as well as simple shrinkage estimators. 
534 |c 2019 
650 4 |a approximate Bayesian computation 
650 4 |a cut-off selection 
650 4 |a mixed exponential distribution 
650 4 |a probability of success 
650 4 |a time to event 
700 1 |a Kirchner, Marietta  |d 1985-  |e VerfasserIn  |0 (DE-588)1045114057  |0 (DE-627)773810285  |0 (DE-576)398478910  |4 aut 
700 1 |a Kieser, Meinhard  |d 1960-  |e VerfasserIn  |0 (DE-588)103276547X  |0 (DE-627)739277766  |0 (DE-576)168963825  |4 aut 
773 0 8 |i Enthalten in  |t Biometrical journal  |d Berlin : Wiley-VCH, 1977  |g 62(2020), 3, Seite 627-642  |h Online-Ressource  |w (DE-627)271350229  |w (DE-600)1479920-0  |w (DE-576)078590868  |x 1521-4036  |7 nnas  |a Adjustment for exploratory cut-off selection in randomized clinical trials with survival endpoint 
773 1 8 |g volume:62  |g year:2020  |g number:3  |g pages:627-642  |g extent:16  |a Adjustment for exploratory cut-off selection in randomized clinical trials with survival endpoint 
856 4 0 |u https://doi.org/10.1002/bimj.201800302  |x Verlag  |x Resolving-System  |z lizenzpflichtig  |3 Volltext 
856 4 0 |u https://www.onlinelibrary.wiley.com/doi/abs/10.1002/bimj.201800302  |x Verlag  |z lizenzpflichtig  |3 Volltext 
951 |a AR 
992 |a 20200717 
993 |a Article 
994 |a 2020 
998 |g 103276547X  |a Kieser, Meinhard  |m 103276547X:Kieser, Meinhard  |d 910000  |d 999701  |e 910000PK103276547X  |e 999701PK103276547X  |k 0/910000/  |k 1/910000/999701/  |p 3  |y j 
998 |g 1045114057  |a Kirchner, Marietta  |m 1045114057:Kirchner, Marietta  |d 910000  |d 999701  |e 910000PK1045114057  |e 999701PK1045114057  |k 0/910000/  |k 1/910000/999701/  |p 2 
999 |a KXP-PPN1725080966  |e 3725588325 
BIB |a Y 
SER |a journal 
JSO |a {"language":["eng"],"note":["Gesehen am 17.07.2020","First published: 07 October 2019"],"origin":[{"dateIssuedKey":"2020","dateIssuedDisp":"2020"}],"type":{"media":"Online-Ressource","bibl":"article-journal"},"title":[{"title":"Adjustment for exploratory cut-off selection in randomized clinical trials with survival endpoint","title_sort":"Adjustment for exploratory cut-off selection in randomized clinical trials with survival endpoint"}],"person":[{"given":"Heiko","role":"aut","family":"Götte","display":"Götte, Heiko"},{"family":"Kirchner","display":"Kirchner, Marietta","role":"aut","given":"Marietta"},{"given":"Meinhard","role":"aut","family":"Kieser","display":"Kieser, Meinhard"}],"id":{"eki":["1725080966"],"doi":["10.1002/bimj.201800302"]},"relHost":[{"part":{"extent":"16","volume":"62","year":"2020","pages":"627-642","text":"62(2020), 3, Seite 627-642","issue":"3"},"note":["Gesehen am 17.04.07"],"origin":[{"publisher":"Wiley-VCH","dateIssuedKey":"1977","dateIssuedDisp":"1977-","publisherPlace":"Berlin"}],"title":[{"title_sort":"Biometrical journal","title":"Biometrical journal"}],"type":{"bibl":"periodical","media":"Online-Ressource"},"language":["eng","ger"],"disp":"Adjustment for exploratory cut-off selection in randomized clinical trials with survival endpointBiometrical journal","id":{"doi":["10.1002/(ISSN)1521-4036"],"issn":["1521-4036"],"eki":["271350229"],"zdb":["1479920-0"]},"physDesc":[{"extent":"Online-Ressource"}],"recId":"271350229","pubHistory":["Volume 19, issue 1 (1977)-"]}],"recId":"1725080966","physDesc":[{"extent":"16 S."}],"name":{"displayForm":["Heiko Götte, Marietta Kirchner, Meinhard Kieser"]}} 
SRT |a GOETTEHEIKADJUSTMENT2020