Stereotypes and false consensus: how financial professionals predict risk preferences

We analyze the prediction of risk preferences of others using an artefactual field experiment with financial professionals and students. For their prediction, the subjects receive information on multiple demographic characteristics and a self-assessment of risk taking of the target. When analyzing t...

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Hauptverfasser: Roth, Benjamin (VerfasserIn) , Voskort, Andrea (VerfasserIn)
Dokumenttyp: Article (Journal)
Sprache:Englisch
Veröffentlicht: 13 June 2014
In: Journal of economic behavior & organization
Year: 2014, Jahrgang: 107, Pages: 553-565
ISSN:1879-1751
DOI:10.1016/j.jebo.2014.05.006
Online-Zugang:Verlag, lizenzpflichtig, Volltext: https://doi.org/10.1016/j.jebo.2014.05.006
Verlag, lizenzpflichtig, Volltext: http://www.sciencedirect.com/science/article/pii/S0167268114001632
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Verfasserangaben:Benjamin Roth, Andrea Voskort
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Zusammenfassung:We analyze the prediction of risk preferences of others using an artefactual field experiment with financial professionals and students. For their prediction, the subjects receive information on multiple demographic characteristics and a self-assessment of risk taking of the target. When analyzing the predictions we find three significant effects: subjects use the demographic information for stereotyping as well as the target's self-assessment on risk taking, and we find a considerable false consensus effect. The false consensus effect is the strongest for experienced professionals. Regarding the prediction's accuracy, we find that the forecasts of the professionals are more accurate than the forecasts of the students.
Beschreibung:Gesehen am 18.08.2020
Beschreibung:Online Resource
ISSN:1879-1751
DOI:10.1016/j.jebo.2014.05.006