Elusive alpha and beta control in a multicausal world

Virtually all scientific outlets, including the most prestigious journals, have implemented strict rules of α and (1-β) control, supposed to quantify the probability of a significant result assuming H0 and H1, respectively. However, estimation of α and β rests on the untenable assumption that a syst...

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1. Verfasser: Fiedler, Klaus (VerfasserIn)
Dokumenttyp: Article (Journal)
Sprache:Englisch
Veröffentlicht: 20 Jan 2020
In: Basic & applied social psychology
Year: 2020, Jahrgang: 42, Heft: 2, Pages: 79-87
ISSN:1532-4834
DOI:10.1080/01973533.2020.1714622
Online-Zugang:Verlag, lizenzpflichtig, Volltext: https://doi.org/10.1080/01973533.2020.1714622
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Verfasserangaben:Klaus Fiedler

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520 |a Virtually all scientific outlets, including the most prestigious journals, have implemented strict rules of α and (1-β) control, supposed to quantify the probability of a significant result assuming H0 and H1, respectively. However, estimation of α and β rests on the untenable assumption that a systematic effect ΔY in the dependent variable cannot be brought about by any other causal influence than the influence ΔX stated in H1 and negated in H0. Yet, in a given study, empirical evidence on ΔY related to ΔX can always reflect extraneous causal influences, because no treatment or measurement tool affords a pure measure of X and Y, respectively. Consequently, α and β cannot quantify error probabilities in specific studies. 
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