Data-driven regionalization of housing markets

This article presents a data-driven framework for housing market segmentation. Local marginal house price surfaces are investigated by means of mixed geographically weighted regression and are reduced to a set of principal component maps, which in turn serve as input for spatial regionalization. The...

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Main Authors: Helbich, Marco (Author) , Brunauer, Wolfgang (Author) , Hagenauer, Julian Christian (Author) , Leitner, Michael (Author)
Format: Article (Journal)
Language:English
Published: 2013
In: Annals of the Association of American Geographers
Year: 2012, Volume: 103, Issue: 4, Pages: 871-889
ISSN:1467-8306
DOI:10.1080/00045608.2012.707587
Online Access:Verlag, lizenzpflichtig, Volltext: https://doi.org/10.1080/00045608.2012.707587
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Author Notes:Marco Helbich, Wolfgang Brunauer, Julian Hagenauer, Michael Leitner

MARC

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520 |a This article presents a data-driven framework for housing market segmentation. Local marginal house price surfaces are investigated by means of mixed geographically weighted regression and are reduced to a set of principal component maps, which in turn serve as input for spatial regionalization. The out-of-sample prediction error of a hedonic pricing model is applied to determine a “near-optimal” number of spatially coherent and homogeneous submarkets. The usefulness of this method is demonstrated with a detailed data set for the Austrian housing market. The results provide evidence that submarkets must always be considered, however they are defined, and that the proposed submarket taxonomy on a regional level significantly improves predictive quality compared to (1) a traditional pooled model, (2) a model that uses an ad hoc submarket definition based on administrative units, and (3) a model incorporating an alternative submarket definition on the basis of aspatial k-means clustering. Moreover, it is concluded that the Austrian housing market is characterized by regional determinants and that geography is the most important component determining the house prices. 
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650 4 |a real estate 
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650 4 |a 奥地利 
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650 4 |a 混合地理加权回归 
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