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Incorporating progesterone receptor expression into the PREDICT breast prognostic model

Background - Predict Breast (www.predict.nhs.uk) is an online prognostication and treatment benefit tool for early invasive breast cancer. The aim of this study was to incorporate the prognostic effect of progesterone receptor (PR) status into a new version of PREDICT and to compare its performance...

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Main Authors: Grootes, Isabelle (Author) , Keeman, Renske (Author) , Blows, Fiona M. (Author) , Milne, Roger L. (Author) , Giles, Graham G. (Author) , Swerdlow, Anthony J. (Author) , Fasching, Peter A. (Author) , Abubakar, Mustapha (Author) , Andrulis, Irene L. (Author) , Anton-Culver, Hoda (Author) , Beckmann, Matthias W. (Author) , Blomqvist, Carl (Author) , Bojesen, Stig E. (Author) , Bolla, Manjeet K. (Author) , Bonanni, Bernardo (Author) , Briceno, Ignacio (Author) , Burwinkel, Barbara (Author) , Camp, Nicola J. (Author) , Castelao, Jose E. (Author) , Choi, Ji-Yeob (Author) , Clarke, Christine L. (Author) , Couch, Fergus J. (Author) , Cox, Angela (Author) , Cross, Simon S. (Author) , Czene, Kamila (Author) , Devilee, Peter (Author) , Dörk, Thilo (Author) , Dunning, Alison M. (Author) , Dwek, Miriam (Author) , Easton, Douglas F. (Author) , Eccles, Diana M. (Author) , Eriksson, Mikael (Author) , Ernst, Kristina (Author) , Evans, D. Gareth (Author) , Figueroa, Jonine D. (Author) , Fink, Visnja (Author) , Floris, Giuseppe (Author) , Fox, Stephen (Author) , Gabrielson, Marike (Author) , Gago-Dominguez, Manuela (Author) , García-Sáenz, José A. (Author) , González-Neira, Anna (Author) , Haeberle, Lothar (Author) , Haiman, Christopher A. (Author) , Hall, Per (Author) , Hamann, Ute (Author) , Harkness, Elaine F. (Author) , Hartman, Mikael (Author) , Hein, Alexander (Author) , Hooning, Maartje J. (Author) , Hou, Ming-Feng (Author) , Howell, Sacha J. (Author) , Ito, Hidemi (Author) , Jakubowska, Anna (Author) , Janni, Wolfgang (Author) , John, Esther M. (Author) , Jung, Audrey (Author) , Kang, Daehee (Author) , Kristensen, Vessela N. (Author) , Kwong, Ava (Author) , Lambrechts, Diether (Author) , Li, Jingmei (Author) , Lubiński, Jan (Author) , Manoochehri, Mehdi (Author) , Margolin, Sara (Author) , Matsuo, Keitaro (Author) , Taib, Nur Aishah Mohd (Author) , Mulligan, Anna Marie (Author) , Nevanlinna, Heli (Author) , Newman, William G. (Author) , Offit, Kenneth (Author) , Osorio, Ana (Author) , Park, Sue K. (Author) , Park-Simon, Tjoung-Won (Author) , Patel, Alpa V. (Author) , Presneau, Nadege (Author) , Pylkäs, Katri (Author) , Rack, Brigitte (Author) , Radice, Paolo (Author) , Rennert, Gad (Author) , Romero, Atocha (Author) , Saloustros, Emmanouil (Author) , Sawyer, Elinor J. (Author) , Schneeweiss, Andreas (Author) , Schochter, Fabienne (Author) , Schoemaker, Minouk J. (Author) , Shen, Chen-Yang (Author) , Shibli, Rana (Author) , Sinn, Peter (Author) , Tapper, William J. (Author) , Tawfiq, Essa (Author) , Teo, Soo Hwang (Author) , Teras, Lauren R. (Author) , Torres, Diana (Author) , Vachon, Celine M. (Author) , van Deurzen, Carolien H. M. (Author) , Wendt, Camilla (Author) , Williams, Justin A. (Author) , Winqvist, Robert (Author) , Elwood, Mark (Author) , Schmidt, Marjanka K. (Author) , García-Closas, Montserrat (Author) , Pharoah, Paul D. P. (Author)
Format: Article (Journal)
Language:English
Published: 4 August 2022
In: European journal of cancer
Year: 2022, Volume: 173, Pages: 178-193
ISSN:1879-0852
DOI:10.1016/j.ejca.2022.06.011
Online Access:Verlag, lizenzpflichtig, Volltext: https://doi.org/10.1016/j.ejca.2022.06.011
Verlag, lizenzpflichtig, Volltext: https://www.sciencedirect.com/science/article/pii/S0959804922003628
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Author Notes:Isabelle Grootes, Renske Keeman, Fiona M. Blows, Roger L. Milne, Graham G. Giles, Anthony J. Swerdlow, Peter A. Fasching, Mustapha Abubakar, Irene L. Andrulis, Hoda Anton-Culver, Matthias W. Beckmann, Carl Blomqvist, Stig E. Bojesen, Manjeet K. Bolla, Bernardo Bonanni, Ignacio Briceno, Barbara Burwinkel, Nicola J. Camp, Jose E. Castelao, Ji-Yeob Choi, Christine L. Clarke, Fergus J. Couch, Angela Cox, Simon S. Cross, Kamila Czene, Peter Devilee, Thilo Dörk, Alison M. Dunning, Miriam Dwek, Douglas F. Easton, Diana M. Eccles, Mikael Eriksson, Kristina Ernst, D. Gareth Evans, Jonine D. Figueroa, Visnja Fink, Giuseppe Floris, Stephen Fox, Marike Gabrielson, Manuela Gago-Dominguez, José A. García-Sáenz, Anna González-Neira, Lothar Haeberle, Christopher A. Haiman, Per Hall, Ute Hamann, Elaine F. Harkness, Mikael Hartman, Alexander Hein, Maartje J. Hooning, Ming-Feng Hou, Sacha J. Howell, Hidemi Ito, Anna Jakubowska, Wolfgang Janni, Esther M. John, Audrey Jung, Daehee Kang, Vessela N. Kristensen, Ava Kwong, Diether Lambrechts, Jingmei Li, Jan Lubiński, Mehdi Manoochehri, Sara Margolin, Keitaro Matsuo, Nur Aishah Mohd Taib, Anna Marie Mulligan, Heli Nevanlinna, William G. Newman, Kenneth Offit, Ana Osorio, Sue K. Park, Tjoung-Won Park-Simon, Alpa V. Patel, Nadege Presneau, Katri Pylkäs, Brigitte Rack, Paolo Radice, Gad Rennert, Atocha Romero, Emmanouil Saloustros, Elinor J. Sawyer, Andreas Schneeweiss, Fabienne Schochter, Minouk J. Schoemaker, Chen-Yang Shen, Rana Shibli, Peter Sinn, William J. Tapper, Essa Tawfiq, Soo Hwang Teo, Lauren R. Teras, Diana Torres, Celine M. Vachon, Carolien H.M. van Deurzen, Camilla Wendt, Justin A. Williams, Robert Winqvist, Mark Elwood, Marjanka K. Schmidt, Montserrat García-Closas, Paul D.P. Pharoah

MARC

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520 |a Background - Predict Breast (www.predict.nhs.uk) is an online prognostication and treatment benefit tool for early invasive breast cancer. The aim of this study was to incorporate the prognostic effect of progesterone receptor (PR) status into a new version of PREDICT and to compare its performance to the current version (2.2). - Method - The prognostic effect of PR status was based on the analysis of data from 45,088 European patients with breast cancer from 49 studies in the Breast Cancer Association Consortium. Cox proportional hazard models were used to estimate the hazard ratio for PR status. Data from a New Zealand study of 11,365 patients with early invasive breast cancer were used for external validation. Model calibration and discrimination were used to test the model performance. - Results - Having a PR-positive tumour was associated with a 23% and 28% lower risk of dying from breast cancer for women with oestrogen receptor (ER)-negative and ER-positive breast cancer, respectively. The area under the ROC curve increased with the addition of PR status from 0.807 to 0.809 for patients with ER-negative tumours (p = 0.023) and from 0.898 to 0.902 for patients with ER-positive tumours (p = 2.3 × 10−6) in the New Zealand cohort. Model calibration was modest with 940 observed deaths compared to 1151 predicted. - Conclusion - The inclusion of the prognostic effect of PR status to PREDICT Breast has led to an improvement of model performance and more accurate absolute treatment benefit predictions for individual patients. Further studies should determine whether the baseline hazard function requires recalibration. 
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Bolla, Bernardo Bonanni, Ignacio Briceno, Barbara Burwinkel, Nicola J. Camp, Jose E. Castelao, Ji-Yeob Choi, Christine L. Clarke, Fergus J. Couch, Angela Cox, Simon S. Cross, Kamila Czene, Peter Devilee, Thilo Dörk, Alison M. Dunning, Miriam Dwek, Douglas F. Easton, Diana M. Eccles, Mikael Er 
JSO |a iksson, Kristina Ernst, D. Gareth Evans, Jonine D. Figueroa, Visnja Fink, Giuseppe Floris, Stephen Fox, Marike Gabrielson, Manuela Gago-Dominguez, José A. García-Sáenz, Anna González-Neira, Lothar Haeberle, Christopher A. Haiman, Per Hall, Ute Hamann, Elaine F. Harkness, Mikael Hartman, Alexander Hein, Maartje J. Hooning, Ming-Feng Hou, Sacha J. Howell, Hidemi Ito, Anna Jakubowska, Wolfgang Janni, Esther M. John, Audrey Jung, Daehee Kang, Vessela N. Kristensen, Ava Kwong, Diether Lambrechts, Jingmei Li, Jan Lubiński, Mehdi Manoochehri, Sara Margolin, Keitaro Matsuo, Nur Aishah Mohd Taib, Anna Marie Mulligan, Heli Nevanlinna, William G. Newman, Kenneth Offit, Ana Osorio, Sue K. Park, Tjoung-Won Park-Simon, Alpa V. Patel, Nadege Presneau, Katri Pylkäs, Brigitte Rack, Paolo Radice, Gad Rennert, Atocha Romero, Emmanouil Saloustros, Elinor J. Sawyer, Andreas Schneeweiss, Fabienne Schochter, Minouk J. Schoemaker, Chen-Yang Shen, Rana Shibli, Peter Sinn, William J. Tapper, Essa Tawfiq, Soo Hwang Teo, Lauren R. Teras, Diana Torres, Celine M. Vachon, Carolien H.M. van Deurzen, Camilla Wendt, Justin A. Williams, Robert Winqvist, Mark Elwood, Marjanka K. Schmidt, Montserrat García-Closas, Paul D.P. Pharoah"]},"origin":[{"dateIssuedKey":"2022","dateIssuedDisp":"4 August 2022"}],"relHost":[{"disp":"Incorporating progesterone receptor expression into the PREDICT breast prognostic modelEuropean journal of cancer","type":{"media":"Online-Ressource","bibl":"periodical"},"corporate":[{"role":"isb","display":"European Organization for Research on Treatment of Cancer"},{"role":"isb","display":"European Association for Cancer Research"},{"display":"European School of Oncology","role":"isb"}],"titleAlt":[{"title":"EJC online"}],"part":{"text":"173(2022) vom: Sept., Seite 178-193","extent":"16","pages":"178-193","volume":"173","year":"2022"},"language":["eng"],"pubHistory":["28.1992 -"],"note":["Gesehen am 21.03.24","Ungezählte Beil.: Supplement"],"id":{"eki":["266883400"],"issn":["1879-0852"],"zdb":["1468190-0"]},"title":[{"title":"European journal of cancer","title_sort":"European journal of cancer"}],"origin":[{"publisherPlace":"Amsterdam [u.a.] ; [Erscheinungsort nicht ermittelbar]","dateIssuedKey":"1992","dateIssuedDisp":"1992-","publisher":"Elsevier ; Pergamon Press"}],"recId":"266883400"}],"physDesc":[{"extent":"16 S."}],"id":{"doi":["10.1016/j.ejca.2022.06.011"],"eki":["1833098919"]},"title":[{"title":"Incorporating progesterone receptor expression into the PREDICT breast prognostic model","title_sort":"Incorporating progesterone receptor expression into the PREDICT breast prognostic model"}],"type":{"bibl":"article-journal","media":"Online-Ressource"}} 
SRT |a GROOTESISAINCORPORAT4202 

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