Global health 2050: the path to halving premature death by mid-century

In Global Health 2050, the Lancet Commission on Investing in Health concludes that dramatic improvements in human welfare are achievable by mid-century with focused health investments. By 2050, countries that choose to do so could reduce by 50% the probability of premature death in their populations...

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Main Authors: Jamison, Dean T. (Author) , Summers, Lawrence H (Author) , Chang, Angela Y (Author) , Karlsson, Omar (Author) , Mao, Wenhui (Author) , Norheim, Ole F (Author) , Ogbuoji, Osondu (Author) , Schäferhoff, Marco (Author) , Watkins, David (Author) , Adeyi, Olusoji (Author) , Alleyne, George (Author) , Alwan, Ala (Author) , Anand, Shuchi (Author) , Belachew, Ruth (Author) , Berkley, Seth F (Author) , Bertozzi, Stefano M (Author) , Bolongaita, Sarah (Author) , Bundy, Donald (Author) , Bustreo, Flavia (Author) , Castro, Marcia C (Author) , Chen, Simiao (Author) , Fan, Victoria Y (Author) , Fawole, Ayodamope (Author) , Feachem, Richard (Author) , Gebremedhin, Lia (Author) , Ghosh, Jayati (Author) , Goldie, Sue J (Author) , Gonzalez-Pier, Eduardo (Author) , Guo, Yan (Author) , Gupta, Sanjeev (Author) , Jha, Prabhat (Author) , Knaul, Felicia Marie (Author) , Kruk, Margaret E (Author) , Kurowski, Christoph (Author) , Liu, Gordon G (Author) , Makimoto, Saeda (Author) , Mataria, Awad (Author) , Nugent, Rachel (Author) , Oshitani, Hitoshi (Author) , Pablos-Mendez, Ariel (Author) , Peto, Richard (Author) , Sekhri Feachem, Neelam (Author) , Reddy, Srinath (Author) , Salti, Nisreen (Author) , Saxenian, Helen (Author) , Seyi-Olajide, Justina (Author) , Soucat, Agnes (Author) , Verguet, Stéphane (Author) , Zimmerman, Armand (Author) , Yamey, Gavin (Author)
Format: Article (Journal)
Language:English
Published: October 14, 2024
In: The lancet
Year: 2024, Volume: 404, Issue: 10462, Pages: 1561-1614
ISSN:1474-547X
DOI:10.1016/S0140-6736(24)01439-9
Online Access:Verlag, kostenfrei, Volltext: https://doi.org/10.1016/S0140-6736(24)01439-9
Verlag, kostenfrei, Volltext: https://www.sciencedirect.com/science/article/pii/S0140673624014399
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Author Notes:Dean T Jamison, Lawrence H Summers, Angela Y Chang, Omar Karlsson, Wenhui Mao, Ole F Norheim, Osondu Ogbuoji, Marco Schäferhoff, David Watkins, Olusoji Adeyi, George Alleyne, Ala Alwan, Shuchi Anand, Ruth Belachew, Seth F Berkley, Stefano M Bertozzi, Sarah Bolongaita, Donald Bundy, Flavia Bustreo, Marcia C Castro, Simiao Chen, Victoria Y Fan, Ayodamope Fawole, Richard Feachem, Lia Gebremedhin, Jayati Ghosh, Sue J Goldie, Eduardo Gonzalez-Pier, Yan Guo, Sanjeev Gupta, Prabhat Jha, Felicia Marie Knaul, Margaret E Kruk, Christoph Kurowski, Gordon G Liu, Saeda Makimoto, Awad Mataria, Rachel Nugent, Hitoshi Oshitani, Ariel Pablos-Mendez, Richard Peto, Neelam Sekhri Feachem, Srinath Reddy, Nisreen Salti, Helen Saxenian, Justina Seyi-Olajide, Agnes Soucat, Stéphane Verguet, Armand Zimmerman, Gavin Yamey

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520 |a In Global Health 2050, the Lancet Commission on Investing in Health concludes that dramatic improvements in human welfare are achievable by mid-century with focused health investments. By 2050, countries that choose to do so could reduce by 50% the probability of premature death in their populations—ie, the probability of dying before age 70 years—from the levels in 2019. We call this goal 50 by 50. The interventions that enable achieving the goal of 50 by 50 should also reduce morbidity and disability at all ages. Historical experience and continued scientific advances suggest that 50 by 50 is a feasible aspiration. Seven of the 30 most populous countries have reduced their probability of premature death over the past decade at a rate that would halve the probability before 2050, including countries as diverse as Bangladesh, Ethiopia, Iran, and Türkiye. These focused gains can be achieved early on the pathway to full universal health coverage. 
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