Electoral support for candidates involved in drug trafficking: experimental evidence from Peru

Why do citizens vote for candidates involved in organized crime? Drawing on theories of voting behavior and accountability, I assess the extent to which individuals engage in trade-off evaluations when voting for candidates linked to drug trafficking organizations (DTOs). Using a vignette experiment...

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Bibliographic Details
Main Author: Ramírez Bustamante, Mariana V. (Author)
Format: Article (Journal)
Language:English
Published: 2025
In: Comparative political studies
Year: 2025, Pages: 1-37
ISSN:1552-3829
DOI:10.1177/00104140251381759
Online Access:Verlag, kostenfrei, Volltext: https://doi.org/10.1177/00104140251381759
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Author Notes:Mariana V. Ramírez Bustamante

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520 |a Why do citizens vote for candidates involved in organized crime? Drawing on theories of voting behavior and accountability, I assess the extent to which individuals engage in trade-off evaluations when voting for candidates linked to drug trafficking organizations (DTOs). Using a vignette experiment embedded in online surveys in Peru, I manipulated side benefits that accrue from drug trafficking. The results, which I also test using qualitative evidence from in-depth elite interviews, show support for my core hypothesis, which I term a competence mechanism: citizens are more favorable toward DTO-linked candidates when that connection brings positive returns. Specifically, I find security side benefits increase electoral support for narco-linked politicians, while economic goods do not have a direct significant effect on voting behavior unless citizens justify this illegal economy. Further, tolerance toward the drug trade has a direct effect on support for this type of malfeasant candidates. 
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