Growth expectations, undue optimism, and short-run fluctuations

We assess whether "undue optimism" (Pigou) contributes to business cycle fluctuations. In our analysis, optimism (or pessimism) pertains to total factor productivity which determines economic activity in the long run. Optimism shocks are perceived changes in productivity which do not actua...

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Bibliographic Details
Main Authors: Enders, Zeno (Author) , Kleemann, Michael (Author) , Müller, Gernot J. (Author)
Format: Book/Monograph Working Paper
Language:English
Published: Frankfurt am Main Deutsche Bundesbank [16.05.2017]
Series:Discussion paper / Deutsche Bundesbank no 2017, 11
In: Discussion paper (no 2017, 11)

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Online Access:Resolving-System, Volltext: http://hdl.handle.net/10419/158018
Verlag, Volltext: http://www.bundesbank.de/Redaktion/EN/Downloads/Publications/Discussion_Paper_1/2017/2017_05_16_dkp_11.pdf?__blob=publicationFile
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Author Notes:Zeno Enders (University of Heidelberg and CESifo), Michael Kleemann (Deutsche Bundesbank), Gernot J. Müller (University of Tübingen, CEPR and CESifo)
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Growth expectations, undue optimism, and short-run fluctuations by Enders, Zeno (Author) , Kleemann, Michael (Author) , Müller, Gernot J. (Author) ,


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Growth expectations, undue optimism, and short-run fluctuations by Enders, Zeno (Author) , Kleemann, Michael (Author) , Müller, Gernot J. (Author) ,


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Growth expectations, undue optimism, and short-run fluctuations by Enders, Zeno (Author) , Kleemann, Michael (Author) , Müller, Gernot J. (Author) ,


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Growth expectations, undue optimism and short-run fluctuations by Enders, Zeno (Author) , Kleemann, Michael (Author) , Müller, Gernot J. (Author) ,


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Growth expectations, undue optimism, and short-run fluctuations by Enders, Zeno (Author) , Kleemann, Michael (Author) , Müller, Gernot J. (Author) ,


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Growth expectations, undue optimism, and short-run fluctuations by Enders, Zeno (Author) , Kleemann, Michael (Author) , Müller, Gernot J. (Author) ,


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Book/Monograph Working Paper