Aid and conflict at the subnational level: evidence from World Bank and Chinese development projects in Africa
Using geo-referenced data on development projects by the World Bank and China, we provide a comprehensive analysis of the effect of aid on conflict using fixed effects and instrumental variables strategies. The results show that aid projects seem to reduce rather than fuel conflict, on average. Our...
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| Main Authors: | , , |
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| Format: | Book/Monograph Working Paper |
| Language: | English |
| Published: |
Heidelberg
Universitätsbibliothek Heidelberg
28 November 2018
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| Series: | Discussion Paper Series / University of Heidelberg, Department of Economics
657 |
| In: |
Discussion paper series (657)
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| DOI: | 10.11588/heidok.00025686 |
| Online Access: | Resolving-System, kostenfrei, Volltext: http://dx.doi.org/10.11588/heidok.00025686 Resolving-System, kostenfrei, Volltext: http://nbn-resolving.de/urn:nbn:de:bsz:16-heidok-256867 
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| Author Notes: | Kai S. Gehring; Melvin H.L. Wong; Lennart C. Kaplan |
| Summary: | Using geo-referenced data on development projects by the World Bank and China, we provide a comprehensive analysis of the effect of aid on conflict using fixed effects and instrumental variables strategies. The results show that aid projects seem to reduce rather than fuel conflict, on average. Our analysis suggests that this is driven by projects in the transport and financial sectors, and through less lethal violence by governments against civilians. There are no clear differences based on ethnic fractionalization and government affiliation of a region, but some indications of spill-overs to other regions. We also find no increased likelihood of demonstrations, strikes or riots, but a higher likelihood of non-lethal government repression in areas where China is active. |
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| Physical Description: | Online Resource |
| DOI: | 10.11588/heidok.00025686 |