Aid and conflict at the subnational level: evidence from World Bank and Chinese development projects in Africa

Using geo-referenced data on development projects by the World Bank and China, we provide a comprehensive analysis of the effect of aid on conflict using fixed effects and instrumental variables strategies. The results show that aid projects seem to reduce rather than fuel conflict, on average. Our...

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Bibliographische Detailangaben
Hauptverfasser: Gehring, Kai (VerfasserIn) , Wong, Melvin Heen Lung (VerfasserIn) , Kaplan, Lennart (VerfasserIn)
Dokumenttyp: Buch/Monographie Arbeitspapier
Sprache:Englisch
Veröffentlicht: Heidelberg Universitätsbibliothek Heidelberg 28 November 2018
Schriftenreihe:Discussion Paper Series / University of Heidelberg, Department of Economics 657
In: Discussion paper series (657)

DOI:10.11588/heidok.00025686
Online-Zugang:Resolving-System, kostenfrei, Volltext: http://dx.doi.org/10.11588/heidok.00025686
Resolving-System, kostenfrei, Volltext: http://nbn-resolving.de/urn:nbn:de:bsz:16-heidok-256867
Volltext
Verfasserangaben:Kai S. Gehring; Melvin H.L. Wong; Lennart C. Kaplan
Beschreibung
Zusammenfassung:Using geo-referenced data on development projects by the World Bank and China, we provide a comprehensive analysis of the effect of aid on conflict using fixed effects and instrumental variables strategies. The results show that aid projects seem to reduce rather than fuel conflict, on average. Our analysis suggests that this is driven by projects in the transport and financial sectors, and through less lethal violence by governments against civilians. There are no clear differences based on ethnic fractionalization and government affiliation of a region, but some indications of spill-overs to other regions. We also find no increased likelihood of demonstrations, strikes or riots, but a higher likelihood of non-lethal government repression in areas where China is active.
Beschreibung:Online Resource
DOI:10.11588/heidok.00025686