Fiscal stimulus and systematic monetary policy: postwar evidence for the United States

I provide structural VAR evidence that U.S. fiscal stimulus programs induce a systematic loosening of interest rates outside of zero-lower-bound episodes. I characterize this policy easing by the Fed as an indirect reaction to disinflationary dynamics unleashed by fiscal stimulus—a finding I corrobo...

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Bibliographic Details
Main Author: Rüth, Sebastian (Author)
Format: Article (Journal)
Language:English
Published: 1 October 2018
In: Economics letters
Year: 2018, Volume: 173, Pages: 92-96
ISSN:0165-1765
DOI:10.1016/j.econlet.2018.09.015
Online Access:Verlag, Volltext: https://doi.org/10.1016/j.econlet.2018.09.015
Verlag, Volltext: http://www.sciencedirect.com/science/article/pii/S0165176518303951
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Author Notes:Sebastian K. Rüth
Description
Summary:I provide structural VAR evidence that U.S. fiscal stimulus programs induce a systematic loosening of interest rates outside of zero-lower-bound episodes. I characterize this policy easing by the Fed as an indirect reaction to disinflationary dynamics unleashed by fiscal stimulus—a finding I corroborate via Taylor-rule estimations. The supporting monetary policy stance amplifies the impact of the expansion in public spending on GDP by roughly one-third. My evidence aligns with fiscal policy models featuring deep-habits in consumption. The empirical regularity of accommodating policy rates, moreover, questions the perception of stimulus being more effective when policy rates are stuck at zero.
Item Description:Gesehen am 06.05.2019
Physical Description:Online Resource
ISSN:0165-1765
DOI:10.1016/j.econlet.2018.09.015