The power of sunspots: an experimental analysis

In an experiment using a coordination game with extrinsic random signals (“sunspots”), we systematically vary the stochastic process generating these signals and measure how signals affect behavior. We find that sunspot equilibria emerge naturally with salient public signals. However, highly correla...

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Hauptverfasser: Fehr, Dietmar (VerfasserIn) , Heinemann, Frank (VerfasserIn) , Llorente-Saguer, Aniol (VerfasserIn)
Dokumenttyp: Article (Journal)
Sprache:Englisch
Veröffentlicht: 2019
In: Journal of monetary economics
Year: 2018, Jahrgang: 103, Pages: 123-136
DOI:10.1016/j.jmoneco.2018.08.006
Online-Zugang:Verlag, Volltext: https://doi.org/10.1016/j.jmoneco.2018.08.006
Verlag: http://www.sciencedirect.com/science/article/pii/S0304393218304896
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Verfasserangaben:Dietmar Fehr, Frank Heinemann, Aniol Llorente-Saguer
Beschreibung
Zusammenfassung:In an experiment using a coordination game with extrinsic random signals (“sunspots”), we systematically vary the stochastic process generating these signals and measure how signals affect behavior. We find that sunspot equilibria emerge naturally with salient public signals. However, highly correlated private signals can also lead to sunspot-driven behavior, even when this is not an equilibrium. Private signals reduce the power of public signals as sunspot variables. The higher the correlation of extrinsic signals and the more easily they can be aggregated, the more powerful these signals are in distracting actions from the action that minimizes strategic uncertainty.
Beschreibung:Available online 23 August 2018
Gesehen am 15.10.2019
Beschreibung:Online Resource
DOI:10.1016/j.jmoneco.2018.08.006