Room for discretion?: biased decision-making in international financial institutions

We exploit the degree of discretion embedded in the World Bank-IMF Debt Sustainability Framework (DSF) to understand the decision-making process of international financial institutions. The unique, internal dataset we use covers the universe of debt sustainability analyses conducted between December...

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Bibliographic Details
Main Authors: Lang, Valentin (Author) , Presbitero, Andrea (Author)
Format: Article (Journal)
Language:English
Published: 2018
In: Journal of development economics
Year: 2017, Volume: 130, Pages: 1-16
ISSN:0304-3878
DOI:10.1016/j.jdeveco.2017.09.001
Online Access:Verlag, Volltext: https://doi.org/10.1016/j.jdeveco.2017.09.001
Verlag: http://www.sciencedirect.com/science/article/pii/S0304387817300640
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Author Notes:Valentin F. Lang, Andrea F. Presbitero
Description
Summary:We exploit the degree of discretion embedded in the World Bank-IMF Debt Sustainability Framework (DSF) to understand the decision-making process of international financial institutions. The unique, internal dataset we use covers the universe of debt sustainability analyses conducted between December 2006 and January 2015 for low-income countries. These data allow us to identify cases where the risk rating implied by the application of the DSF's mechanical rules was overridden to assign a different official rating. Our results show that both political interests and bureaucratic incentives influence the decision to intervene in the mechanical decision-making process. Countries that are politically aligned with the institutions' major shareholders are more likely to receive an improved rating; especially in election years and when the mechanical assessment is not clear-cut. These results suggest that the room for discretion international financial institutions have can be a channel for informal governance and a source of biased decision-making.
Item Description:Online 14 September 2017
Gesehen am 30.10.2019
Physical Description:Online Resource
ISSN:0304-3878
DOI:10.1016/j.jdeveco.2017.09.001