Randomization and dynamic consistency

Raiffa (Q J Econ 75:690-694, 1961) has suggested that ambiguity aversion will cause a strict preference for randomization. We show that dynamic consistency implies that individuals will be indifferent to ex ante randomizations. On the other hand, it is possible for a dynamically consistent ambiguity...

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Bibliographic Details
Main Authors: Eichberger, Jürgen (Author) , Grant, Simon (Author) , Kelsey, David (Author)
Format: Article (Journal)
Language:English
Published: 2016
In: Economic theory
Year: 2016, Volume: 62, Issue: 3, Pages: 547-566
ISSN:1432-0479
DOI:10.1007/s00199-015-0913-8
Online Access:Verlag, lizenzpflichtig, Volltext: https://doi.org/10.1007/s00199-015-0913-8
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Author Notes:Jürgen Eichberger, Simon Grant, David Kelsey
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Summary:Raiffa (Q J Econ 75:690-694, 1961) has suggested that ambiguity aversion will cause a strict preference for randomization. We show that dynamic consistency implies that individuals will be indifferent to ex ante randomizations. On the other hand, it is possible for a dynamically consistent ambiguity averse preference relation to exhibit a strict preference for some ex post randomizations. We argue that our analysis throws some light on the recent debate on the status of the smooth model of ambiguity This debate rests on whether the randomizations implicit in the set-up are viewed as being resolved before or after the (ambiguous) uncertainty.
Item Description:Published online: 9 September 2015
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Physical Description:Online Resource
ISSN:1432-0479
DOI:10.1007/s00199-015-0913-8