Vote buying or (political) business (cycles) as usual?
We report robust evidence of a new short-run monetary election cycle: the monthly growth rate of the money supply (M1) around elections is higher than in other months in a sample of low- and middle-income countries. We hypothesize this is related to systemic vote buying. Consistent with this, we fin...
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| Main Authors: | , , , |
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| Format: | Article (Journal) |
| Language: | English |
| Published: |
2020
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| In: |
The review of economics and statistics
Year: 2019, Volume: 102, Issue: 3, Pages: 409-425 |
| ISSN: | 0034-6535 |
| DOI: | 10.1162/rest_a_00820 |
| Online Access: | Verlag, lizenzpflichtig, Volltext: https://doi.org/10.1162/rest_a_00820
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| Author Notes: | Toke Aidt, Zareh Asatryan, Lusine Badalyan, and Friedrich Heinemann |
| Summary: | We report robust evidence of a new short-run monetary election cycle: the monthly growth rate of the money supply (M1) around elections is higher than in other months in a sample of low- and middle-income countries. We hypothesize this is related to systemic vote buying. Consistent with this, we find no cycle in authoritarian countries and countries with strong political institutions and a pronounced cycle in elections where international election monitors reported vote buying or in close elections. Using survey data on daily consumer expenditures, we show that within-household consumption of food increases in the days before elections. |
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| Item Description: | Posted online July 02, 2020 Gesehen am 12.08.2020 |
| Physical Description: | Online Resource |
| ISSN: | 0034-6535 |
| DOI: | 10.1162/rest_a_00820 |