Vote buying or (political) business (cycles) as usual?

We report robust evidence of a new short-run monetary election cycle: the monthly growth rate of the money supply (M1) around elections is higher than in other months in a sample of low- and middle-income countries. We hypothesize this is related to systemic vote buying. Consistent with this, we fin...

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Hauptverfasser: Aidt, Toke (VerfasserIn) , Asatryan, Zareh (VerfasserIn) , Badalyan, Lusine (VerfasserIn) , Heinemann, Friedrich (VerfasserIn)
Dokumenttyp: Article (Journal)
Sprache:Englisch
Veröffentlicht: 2020
In: The review of economics and statistics
Year: 2019, Jahrgang: 102, Heft: 3, Pages: 409-425
ISSN:0034-6535
DOI:10.1162/rest_a_00820
Online-Zugang:Verlag, lizenzpflichtig, Volltext: https://doi.org/10.1162/rest_a_00820
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Verfasserangaben:Toke Aidt, Zareh Asatryan, Lusine Badalyan, and Friedrich Heinemann
Beschreibung
Zusammenfassung:We report robust evidence of a new short-run monetary election cycle: the monthly growth rate of the money supply (M1) around elections is higher than in other months in a sample of low- and middle-income countries. We hypothesize this is related to systemic vote buying. Consistent with this, we find no cycle in authoritarian countries and countries with strong political institutions and a pronounced cycle in elections where international election monitors reported vote buying or in close elections. Using survey data on daily consumer expenditures, we show that within-household consumption of food increases in the days before elections.
Beschreibung:Posted online July 02, 2020
Gesehen am 12.08.2020
Beschreibung:Online Resource
ISSN:0034-6535
DOI:10.1162/rest_a_00820