Comparison of approaches for parameter estimation on stochastic models: Generic least squares versus specialized approaches

Parameter estimation for models with intrinsic stochasticity poses specific challenges that do not exist for deterministic models. Therefore, specialized numerical methods for parameter estimation in stochastic models have been developed. Here, we study whether dedicated algorithms for stochastic mo...

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Bibliographic Details
Main Authors: Zimmer, Christoph (Author) , Sahle, Sven (Author)
Format: Article (Journal)
Language:English
Published: 2016
In: Computational biology and chemistry
Year: 2015, Volume: 61, Pages: 75-85
DOI:10.1016/j.compbiolchem.2015.10.003
Online Access:Verlag, lizenzpflichtig, Volltext: https://doi.org/10.1016/j.compbiolchem.2015.10.003
Verlag, lizenzpflichtig, Volltext: http://www.sciencedirect.com/science/article/pii/S1476927115302152
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Author Notes:Christoph Zimmer, Sven Sahle
Description
Summary:Parameter estimation for models with intrinsic stochasticity poses specific challenges that do not exist for deterministic models. Therefore, specialized numerical methods for parameter estimation in stochastic models have been developed. Here, we study whether dedicated algorithms for stochastic models are indeed superior to the naive approach of applying the readily available least squares algorithm designed for deterministic models. We compare the performance of the recently developed multiple shooting for stochastic systems (MSS) method designed for parameter estimation in stochastic models, a stochastic differential equations based Bayesian approach and a chemical master equation based techniques with the least squares approach for parameter estimation in models of ordinary differential equations (ODE). As test data, 1000 realizations of the stochastic models are simulated. For each realization an estimation is performed with each method, resulting in 1000 estimates for each approach. These are compared with respect to their deviation to the true parameter and, for the genetic toggle switch, also their ability to reproduce the symmetry of the switching behavior. Results are shown for different set of parameter values of a genetic toggle switch leading to symmetric and asymmetric switching behavior as well as an immigration-death and a susceptible-infected-recovered model. This comparison shows that it is important to choose a parameter estimation technique that can treat intrinsic stochasticity and that the specific choice of this algorithm shows only minor performance differences.
Item Description:Gesehen am 29.09.2020
Available online 17 December 2015
Physical Description:Online Resource
DOI:10.1016/j.compbiolchem.2015.10.003