Savage vs. Anscombe-Aumann: an experimental investigation of ambiguity frameworks

The Savage and the Anscombe-Aumann frameworks are the two most popular approaches used when modeling ambiguity. The former is more flexible, but the latter is often preferred for its simplicity. We conduct an experiment where subjects place bets on the joint outcome of an ambiguous urn and a fair co...

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Bibliographic Details
Main Authors: Oechssler, Joerg (Author) , Roomets, Alex (Author)
Format: Article (Journal)
Language:English
Published: 2021
In: Theory and decision
Year: 2021, Volume: 90, Issue: 3/4, Pages: 405-416
ISSN:1573-7187
DOI:10.1007/s11238-020-09778-w
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Online Access:Resolving-System, kostenfrei, Volltext: https://doi.org/10.1007/s11238-020-09778-w
Verlag, kostenfrei: https://link.springer.com/content/pdf/10.1007/s11238-020-09778-w.pdf
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Author Notes:Jörg Oechssler, Alex Roomets
Description
Summary:The Savage and the Anscombe-Aumann frameworks are the two most popular approaches used when modeling ambiguity. The former is more flexible, but the latter is often preferred for its simplicity. We conduct an experiment where subjects place bets on the joint outcome of an ambiguous urn and a fair coin. We document that more than a third of our subjects make choices that are incompatible with Anscombe-Aumann for any preferences, while the Savage framework is flexible enough to account for subjects’ behaviors.
Item Description:Gesehen am 29.10.2020
Physical Description:Online Resource
ISSN:1573-7187
DOI:10.1007/s11238-020-09778-w