On the relationship between the Mediterranean Oscillation and winter precipitation in the Southern Levant

Empirical Orthogonal Function (EOF) analysis was applied to 25 homogenous precipitation series in the Southern Levant covering the years 1960-1993. The EOF-1 explained 60-71% of variance and exhibited a significant correlation with a particular Mediterranean Oscillation Index (MOI) in December-Febru...

Full description

Saved in:
Bibliographic Details
Main Author: Törnros, Tobias (Author)
Format: Article (Journal)
Language:English
Published: 16 July 2013
In: Atmospheric science letters
Year: 2013, Volume: 14, Issue: 4, Pages: 287-293
ISSN:1530-261X
DOI:10.1002/asl2.450
Online Access:Verlag, lizenzpflichtig, Volltext: https://doi.org/10.1002/asl2.450
Verlag, lizenzpflichtig, Volltext: https://onlinelibrary.wiley.com/doi/abs/10.1002/asl2.450
Get full text
Author Notes:Tobias Törnros
Description
Summary:Empirical Orthogonal Function (EOF) analysis was applied to 25 homogenous precipitation series in the Southern Levant covering the years 1960-1993. The EOF-1 explained 60-71% of variance and exhibited a significant correlation with a particular Mediterranean Oscillation Index (MOI) in December-February. It is shown that winter precipitation is associated with positive MOI phases and Cyprus lows. By fitting gamma distributions to monthly precipitation; it could furthermore be shown that during negative MOI phases, the probability of above average winter precipitation is 22%. During positive MOI phases, the corresponding probability is much higher, at around 59%.
Item Description:Gesehen am 10.02.2022
Physical Description:Online Resource
ISSN:1530-261X
DOI:10.1002/asl2.450