Act early to prevent infections and save lives: causal impact of diagnostic efficiency on the Covid-19 pandemic

This paper examines the impact of diagnostic efficiency on the COVID-19 pandemic. Using an exogenous policy on diagnostic confirmation, we show that a one- day decrease in the time taken to confirm the first case in a city publicly led to 9.4% and 12.7% reductions in COVID-19 prevalence and mortalit...

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Bibliographic Details
Main Authors: Chen, Simiao (Author) , Jin, Zhangfeng (Author) , Bloom, David E. (Author)
Format: Book/Monograph Working Paper
Language:English
Published: [S.l.] SSRN [2021]
Series:IZA Discussion Paper No. 13749
In: Discussion paper series (No. 13749)

DOI:10.2139/ssrn.3704132
Online Access:Verlag, kostenfrei: https://ssrn.com/abstract=3704132
Resolving-System, kostenfrei: https://doi.org/10.2139/ssrn.3704132
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Author Notes:Simiao Chen, Zhangfend Jin, David E. Bloom
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Summary:This paper examines the impact of diagnostic efficiency on the COVID-19 pandemic. Using an exogenous policy on diagnostic confirmation, we show that a one- day decrease in the time taken to confirm the first case in a city publicly led to 9.4% and 12.7% reductions in COVID-19 prevalence and mortality over the subsequent six months, respectively. The impact is larger for cities that are farther from the COVID-19 epicenter, are exposed to less migration, and have more responsive public health systems. Social distancing and a less burdened health system are likely the underlying mechanisms, while the latter also explains the more profound impact on reducing deaths than reducing infections
Physical Description:Online Resource
DOI:10.2139/ssrn.3704132
Access:Open Access