Inflation targeting and liquidity traps under endogenous credibility

Policy implications are derived for an inflation-targeting central bank, whose credibility is endogenous and depends on its past ability to achieve its targets. This is done in a New Keynesian framework with heterogeneous and boundedly rational expectations. We find that the region of allowed policy...

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Autores principales: Hommes, Cars H. (Autor) , Lustenhouwer, Joep (Autor)
Formato: Article (Journal)
Lenguaje:inglés
Publicado: 1 August 2019
In: Journal of monetary economics
Year: 2019, Volumen: 107, Pages: 48-62
DOI:10.1016/j.jmoneco.2019.01.027
Acceso en línea:Verlag, lizenzpflichtig, Volltext: https://doi.org/10.1016/j.jmoneco.2019.01.027
Verlag, lizenzpflichtig, Volltext: https://www.sciencedirect.com/science/article/pii/S0304393219300170
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Notas de Autor:Cars Hommes, Joep Lustenhouwer
Descripción
Sumario:Policy implications are derived for an inflation-targeting central bank, whose credibility is endogenous and depends on its past ability to achieve its targets. This is done in a New Keynesian framework with heterogeneous and boundedly rational expectations. We find that the region of allowed policy parameters is strictly larger than under rational expectations. However, when the zero lower bound on the nominal interest rate is accounted for, self-fulfilling deflationary spirals can occur, depending on the credibility of the central bank. Deflationary spirals can be prevented with a high inflation target and aggressive monetary easing.
Notas:Gesehen am 26.06.2023
Descripción Física:Online Resource
DOI:10.1016/j.jmoneco.2019.01.027