Delayed risk in individual and social decisions

This paper studies temporal-distance effects on individual and social risks, testing Construal Level Theory. We elicit WTPs for risky and ambiguous lotteries and vary the timing (immediately vs. in two weeks) when the uncertainty is resolved. Subjects have lower WTPs for longshots than for safer lot...

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Bibliographic Details
Main Authors: Özgümüs, Asri (Author) , Rau, Holger A. (Author) , Trautmann, Stefan T. (Author)
Format: Article (Journal)
Language:English
Published: June 2024
In: Journal of economic psychology
Year: 2024, Volume: 102, Pages: 1-12
ISSN:0167-4870
DOI:10.1016/j.joep.2024.102710
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Online Access:Verlag, lizenzpflichtig: https://www.sciencedirect.com/science/article/pii/S0167487024000187/pdfft?md5=9f0252232bfd97855271cd5ca355529b&pid=1-s2.0-S0167487024000187-main.pdf
Resolving-System, lizenzpflichtig: https://doi.org/10.1016/j.joep.2024.102710
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Author Notes:Asri Özgümüs, Holger A. Rau, Stefan T. Trautmann
Description
Summary:This paper studies temporal-distance effects on individual and social risks, testing Construal Level Theory. We elicit WTPs for risky and ambiguous lotteries and vary the timing (immediately vs. in two weeks) when the uncertainty is resolved. Subjects have lower WTPs for longshots than for safer lotteries. Under ambiguity, this gap decreases with temporal distance. Subjects are ambiguity averse, which becomes less pronounced when low-probability lotteries are processed in the future. In a trust game, we study temporal-distance effects on social risks. Time distance lowers trust as trustors correctly anticipate that reciprocity is lower when trustees decide in the future.
Item Description:Online verfügbar 23 February 2024, Version des Artikels 27 February 2024
Gesehen am 16.09.2024
Physical Description:Online Resource
ISSN:0167-4870
DOI:10.1016/j.joep.2024.102710