Deliberation and confidence change
We argue that social deliberation may increase an agent’s confidence and credence under certain circumstances. An agent considers a proposition H and assigns a probability to it. However, she is not fully confident that she herself is reliable in this assignment. She then endorses H during deliberat...
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| Main Authors: | , |
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| Format: | Article (Journal) |
| Language: | English |
| Published: |
25 February 2022
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| In: |
Synthese
Year: 2022, Volume: 200, Issue: 1, Pages: 1-13 |
| ISSN: | 1573-0964 |
| DOI: | 10.1007/s11229-022-03584-3 |
| Online Access: | Resolving-System, lizenzpflichtig, Volltext: https://doi.org/10.1007/s11229-022-03584-3 Verlag, lizenzpflichtig, Volltext: https://link.springer.com/article/10.1007/s11229-022-03584-3 
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| Author Notes: | Nora Heinzelmann, Stephan Hartmann |
| Summary: | We argue that social deliberation may increase an agent’s confidence and credence under certain circumstances. An agent considers a proposition H and assigns a probability to it. However, she is not fully confident that she herself is reliable in this assignment. She then endorses H during deliberation with another person, expecting him to raise serious objections. To her surprise, however, the other person does not raise any objections to H. How should her attitudes toward H change? It seems plausible that she should (i) increase the credence she assigns to H and, at the same time, (ii) increase the reliability she assigns to herself concerning H (i.e. her confidence). A Bayesian model helps us to investigate under what conditions, if any, this is rational. |
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| Item Description: | Gesehen am 27.01.2025 |
| Physical Description: | Online Resource |
| ISSN: | 1573-0964 |
| DOI: | 10.1007/s11229-022-03584-3 |