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Climate, environmental, and programmatic correlates of malaria resurgence in Amhara, Ethiopia (2018-2024): a Bayesian spatiotemporal analysis

After substantial progress in malaria control, Ethiopia's Amhara Region experienced a marked resurgence since 2018. The relative contributions of climate variability, environmental context, intervention coverage, and unmeasured factors to this resurgence remain inadequately quantified. This stu...

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Main Authors: Lake, Mastewal Worku (Author) , Asemahagn, Mulusew Andualem (Author) , Gelaye, Kassahun Alemu (Author) , Muchie, Kindie Fentahun (Author) , Nigussie, Teshager Zerihun (Author) , Engedaw, Hailemariam Awoke (Author) , Yenesew, Muluken Azage (Author)
Format: Article (Journal)
Language:English
Published: December 2026
In: Malaria journal
Year: 2026, Volume: 25, Issue: 1, Pages: 1-18
ISSN:1475-2875
DOI:10.1186/s12936-026-05847-7
Online Access:Resolving-System, kostenfrei, Volltext: https://doi.org/10.1186/s12936-026-05847-7
Verlag, kostenfrei, Volltext: https://link.springer.com/article/10.1186/s12936-026-05847-7
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Author Notes:Mastewal Worku Lake, Mulusew Andualem Asemahagn, Kassahun Alemu Gelaye, Kindie Fentahun Muchie, Teshager Zerihun Nigussie, Hailemariam Awoke Engedaw and Muluken Azage Yenesew
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Summary:After substantial progress in malaria control, Ethiopia's Amhara Region experienced a marked resurgence since 2018. The relative contributions of climate variability, environmental context, intervention coverage, and unmeasured factors to this resurgence remain inadequately quantified. This study used a Bayesian spatiotemporal framework to estimate factor associations with malaria incidence, decompose spatial versus temporal climate effects, and identify persistent hotspots.
Item Description:Online veröffentlicht am: 4. März 2026
Gesehen am 24.07.2026
Physical Description:Online Resource
ISSN:1475-2875
DOI:10.1186/s12936-026-05847-7

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