Elections, contracts and markets

As the performance of long-term projects is not observable in the short run politicians may pander to public opinion. To solve this problem, we propose a triple mechanism involving political information markets, reelection threshold contracts, and democratic elections. An information market is used...

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Bibliographic Details
Main Authors: Gersbach, Hans (Author) , Müller, Markus (Author)
Format: Book/Monograph Working Paper
Language:English
Published: Zurich CER-ETH - Center of Economic Research at ETH Zurich [2006]
Edition:This version: May 2006
Series:Working paper / CER-ETH - Center of Economic Research at ETH Zurich 06, 56 (October 2006)
In: Working papers of the Center of Economic Research at ETH Zurich (06, 56 (October 2006))

DOI:10.3929/ethz-a-005273019
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Online Access:Resolving-System, kostenfrei, Volltext: http://hdl.handle.net/10419/171500
Resolving-System, kostenfrei, Volltext: https://doi.org/10.3929/ethz-a-005273019
Verlag, kostenfrei, Volltext: https://www.ethz.ch/content/dam/ethz/special-interest/mtec/cer-eth/cer-eth-dam/documents/working-papers/wp_06_56.pdf
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Author Notes:Hans Gersbach, Markus Müller
Description
Summary:As the performance of long-term projects is not observable in the short run politicians may pander to public opinion. To solve this problem, we propose a triple mechanism involving political information markets, reelection threshold contracts, and democratic elections. An information market is used to predict the long-term performance of a policy, while threshold contracts stipulate a price level on the political information market that a politician must reach to have the right to stand for reelection. Reelection thresholds are offered by politicians during campaigns. We show that, on balance, the triple mechanism increases social welfare.
Physical Description:Online Resource
DOI:10.3929/ethz-a-005273019