Explaining inflation persistence by a time-varying Taylor rule

In a simple New Keynesian model, we derive a closed form solution for the inflation persistence parameter as a function of the policy weights in the central bank’s Taylor rule. By estimating the time-varying weights that the FED attaches to inflation and the output gap, we show that the empirically...

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Hauptverfasser: Conrad, Christian (VerfasserIn) , Eife, Thomas A. (VerfasserIn)
Dokumenttyp: Book/Monograph Arbeitspapier
Sprache:Englisch
Veröffentlicht: [Heidelberg] Alfred-Weber-Institut September 2010
Heidelberg Universitätsbibliothek der Universität Heidelberg September 2010
Schriftenreihe:Discussion paper series / University of Heidelberg, Department of Economics 504
In: Discussion paper series (no. 504)

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Online-Zugang:Resolving-System, kostenfrei, Volltext: http://nbn-resolving.de/urn:nbn:de:bsz:16-opus-110433
Resolving-System, Volltext: http://hdl.handle.net/10419/127321
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Verfasserangaben:Christian Conrad and Thomas A. Eife
Beschreibung
Zusammenfassung:In a simple New Keynesian model, we derive a closed form solution for the inflation persistence parameter as a function of the policy weights in the central bank’s Taylor rule. By estimating the time-varying weights that the FED attaches to inflation and the output gap, we show that the empirically observed changes in U.S. inflation persistence during the period 1975 to 2010 can be well explained by changes in the conduct of monetary policy. Our findings are in line with Benati’s (2008) view that inflation persistence should not be considered a structural parameter in the sense of Lucas.
Beschreibung:Online Resource
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